Editing Use the Goat's... unique talents

{{Action
|Icon = Bazaar.png
|From Card/Storylet title = All fear the Overgoat!
|ID = 9602
|Action cost = 8
|Description = Faced with the Overgoat, few secrets can remain hidden. Send it to delve into the deepest heart of the Bazaar.
|Game Instructions = This will take eight actions, but the reward will be commensurate.
|Unlocked with = {{Unlock|Caprine Authority:}}
|BroadDiff = 300
|BroadQuality = {{IL|Watchful}}
|Success title = The Goat returns
|Success description = [...] Best leave it alone tonight, with extra hay. Still, it brings with it a secret torn from the skin of the Bazaar itself, a wild and terrible song of mourning for a lost love; and a certain piece of eldritch paperwork. [...]}}

*{{Success Increase|Watchful}}
*{{Gain|Storm-Threnody|1 x}}
*{{Gain|Bazaar Permit|1 x}}

{{Failure
|Failure title = The Overgoat is displeased
|Failure description = It attempted to climb the spires of the Bazaar, but other eyes were watching, and it could not attain the heights it wished. It brings you a lesser secret than the one it was aiming for, a mere shriek of a curse.}}

*{{Failure Increase|Watchful}}
*{{Gain|Aeolian Scream|1 x}}

==Revenue Analysis==
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The following assumes that the player is using a {{IL|Sudden Insight}} to bolster chances of success, as this will always be more efficient than not using one given the difficulty of the challenge. 

End-game players may be expected to have a [[Watchful]] of 267 to 345, depending on their [[Destiny]], [[Professions (Guide)|Profession]], [[Ambitions (Guide)|Ambition]], [[Übergoat]] ownership, and whether they have [[Watchful Gains|overcapped their Watchful]]. Including the Second Chance re-roll, this means the chances of success range from 77.9% (for a raw 53% chance to succeed) to 90.4% (for a 69% chance). The expected profits from success accordingly range between 19.48 and 22.6 E. On failure, players receive 2.5E, and the expected profit from failure ranges between .55 E and .24 E. Thus, the overall profit for this action is '''20.03 to 22.84''' '''E'''. If the player holds onto their Storm-Threnodies to [[Sell a Storm-Threnody for 200 Rat-Shillings|sell them at the Rat Market]] (available three weeks out of every twelve), overall profit increases to '''25.87 E to''' '''29.62 E''', at the cost of an additional action.

To calculate EPA, the action to obtain the Second Chance must also be considered, not simply the 8 action cost of this option. The most efficient methods of obtaining second chances are [[Give a Gift! A commotion in the Square of Lofty Words|Give a Gift!]] and the [[Everyone deserves a second chance|Church/Great Game conflict card]], both of which give 1 of each Advantage. If players have access to the Cave of the Nadir, they may [[The end of battles|use the leftover Advantages]] to a profitable end; if they do not (for example because they have overcapped stats and wish to preserve them), the other Advantages are not useful. Thus, the cost of a Sudden Insight may be either 1/4 of an action or 1 full action.

Accordingly, players with access to the Nadir and Rat Market have an overall EPA expectation of '''2.79 to 3.20'''; players who do not, who must count obtaining the Insight as a full separate action and sell the Storm-Threnody for its normal price, have an overall EPA of '''2.23 to 2.54.''' In either case, this is lower EPA than [[Learn of the Overgoat]], on the same card.
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